Johannesburg – With the arrival of Monday, the election of young, rival small parties is likely to change the political landscape of Johannesburg and South Africa in the near future.
Never before have so many political parties participated in South African elections.
On election day, South Africans will be able to choose from 300 different political parties. According to experts, these small parties may irritate the Big Three (ANK, DA, EFF) by joining some municipalities and gaining control through coalitions or creating politics.
Smaller parties can eat or drink from larger party seats.
Bhaki Mngomezulu, a professor of political science at the University of Western Cape, wrote in The Conversation that most of these small parties were formed by politicians who had previously been associated with one of the three major parties. parties. And some of them have a large following. In Johannesburg, ActionSA is led by former mayor Herman Mashba, and some believe it could be a problem for his former party, the DA.
Mngomezulu said the increase in the number of political parties nominating candidates and the number of independents meant that the three major parties were no longer competing.
“It’s important to remember that this is a city referendum, not a local or local election,” he said. Local elections are a broad platform for political parties. Second, the significant increase in the number of new political parties may jeopardize the plans of the three main parties. Basically, the new parties are made up of politicians who were once associated with the three main parties. Some have even better followers.
“In the likelihood, their supporters and their supporters will vote for them and win the votes of the big players.”
Third, the growing number of independent candidates is a challenge for the three main political parties, Mngomezulu said. Even if none of them attracts more followers, it is enough for the three main parties to give up control of the city.
“Depending on the reputation of the city’s ANC, DA and EFF, independent candidates may get enough votes to win seats or not to have a direct majority in one of the three main parties.
Fourth, the possibility of a coalition in some cities cannot be ignored, as there are many political parties and independent candidates. It is true that the ANC, DA, and EFF have more support than other parties, but small parties may be able to run some municipalities in groups against the big three.
“Fifth, not all provinces are the same. In KwaZulu-Natal, for example, the Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) cannot be ignored. In fact, it poses a greater threat to the ANC than the sum of DA and EFF.
Amanda Goves, a professor of political science at Stellenboss University, said she was not sure the ANC would be able to hold Johannesburg after the election.
“I think Herman Mashaba’s ‘Action SA’ will vote and a coalition government will be formed, because in Johannesburg there is no party that gets one vote out of 50.”
Goves, who specializes in local government elections, voting behavior, election campaigns, and campaigns, expects a multi-coalition government across the country.
“There are a lot of small, independent parties competing in the election, and it depends a lot on voter turnout,” he told The Saturday Star.
Some voters, fed up with the poor quality of service, fear that Monday may just be a long way off.
If the ANC gets less than 50 percent of the vote, President Cyril Ramaphosa’s future could be shaken, Guves said.
“This will be a special focus when the ANC holds its election conference next year.”
Lawrence Hamilton, a professor of political science at the Witz School of Social Sciences, said he was disappointed by the poor performance of SOEs such as Escom.
“The ANC will be punished,” he said. And I think very few people will vote. Political indifference is common in South African politics. “And we don’t have a democracy, and election behavior is constantly changing.”
Hamilton said the election landscape is changing, but many Gautengers are still confident they will vote for the ANC.
“Historically, Gauten’s voting model has been very confusing,” he said. I hope many former DA voters will vote for Herman Mashaba. In fact, I think Action SA may emerge as the king of the coalition, ”he said.
Hamilton believes the EFF is the party to watch out for.
“Action SA is a very young party and I don’t think they will resign the EFF or ANC if we look at history,” he said.
Political analyst and professor Sifo Sipe said the ANC was likely to win a majority when it questioned how the vote would take place in Johannesburg.
“Joburg is a bit complicated,” Siep told Saturday Star magazine.
“However, there is no doubt that the ANC will still have a majority. Despite internal difficulties and results, the party still has a competitive advantage over all other parties.”
He explained that the party has a long history of liberation and is deeply rooted in the masses.
“For some people, it’s better than the devil you don’t know,” he said, but it may be necessary to build Johannesburg with the help of the ANC coalition.
But only after the vote count is over will the people of Johannesburg know in whose hands they will rule their city and fulfill their election promises. It will give an idea of the political future of South Africa, the coalitions and the big parties that have had to redefine themselves.
Meanwhile, electricity company Escom lifted its planned power cuts last night after restarting power plants that shut down Phase 4 of its power plants.
Eskom CEO Andre de Reuter apologized for the power outage this week.
“I understand that this has been very difficult for the public, especially for our entrants who are in the process of writing exams,” he said.
De Reuter said: “It’s unfortunate that such a load could not be avoided.”
However, he said the good news is that there is a positive revival in their system.
Jan Oberholzer, Escom’s chief operating officer, said he was pleased to have the power cut.
The main reason for the cancellation of the load was the successful commissioning of some units, which have been broken since last Sunday.
Oberholzer said the outlook for next week is very positive and there will be no more energy restrictions.
“It’s a positive attitude; However, unfortunately, we have to say again that we have a limited system. As some units and power plants remain unpredictable and unreliable, we are confident that there will be no unforeseen breakdowns, but we believe that some breakdowns are likely.
“But we have additional emergency supplies and we are replenishing them. We will hold the election in the post-election days, during the counting of votes,” he added.